Bull Markets Climb a Wall of Worry

Stocks rallied to new highs last week with all three of the major U.S. stock indexes closing at new all-time highs, the Dow Jones Industrial Average over 27,000, the S&P 500 breaching 3,000, and the NASDAQ breaking 8,200. The new highs hit in an atmosphere of caution rather than euphoria. First, investors have been cautious […]

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Worker Earnings Are Up – Corporate Earnings May Not Be

The S&P 500 was up 1.65% last week, leaving the index up 19.29% year-to-date. Due to the sharp runup, we began reducing equity allocations several weeks ago and have trimmed our overweight position in equities by two percentage points. We are planning another round of reductions in the coming weeks which will amount to as […]

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Seasonal Doldrums

Markets were relatively flat last week, going into the weekend’s G-20 Summit in Osaka, Japan. Little detail emerged from the summit, other than announcements of the resumption of trade negotiations which had stalled. The welcome restart of negotiations still leaves us a long way from resolution which will likely take years. The best we can […]

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