Timing is more important than many realize. Investor rule of thumb: Time in the market is more important than timing the market. Here’s evidence for that statement. Start with the following set of hypothetical returns: Hypothetical returns Year Return 1 -28% 2 -4% 3 -2% 4 8% 5 3% 6 10% 7 12% 8 8% […]
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Summary and Outlook
While volatility and the possibility of a test of the recent lows are likely during the first quarter, the 2019 outlook is better than the markets seemed to be signaling in December. There is no sense in me trying to restate what Philip Orlando, CFA and Senior Vice President, Chief Equity Market Strategist and Head […]
Read MoreIRS Forgives Rollover Mistake
A man’s family noticed that he was mentally declining in 2016. It may have been the onset of dementia. In 2017, this man withdrew funds from his IRA, apparently intending to roll the money into a new IRA. However, due to his medical condition, the man never completed the rollover. This man’s grandson son was […]
Read MoreWealth Preservation and Wealth Creation
Volatility is the price investors pay for long-term wealth creation. Markets fluctuate, sometimes wildly, and this is the reason a person should never invest funds which will be needed in the immediate future in investments which trade in volatile public markets. The definition of immediate future is a personal one, which is why it is […]
Read MorePositive Start to the New Year
Last week, Fed Chairman Powell confirmed the Fed’s future interest rate and balance sheet reduction decisions are not predetermined. Previous Fed boards and chairs have a spotty history of setting Fed policy, so some concern is understandable but current criticism seems excessive. We believe current FOMC members are at least as smart as the majority […]
Read MoreAsk a Trust Officer: Mutual Fund Distributions
Dear Trust Officer: I bought shares in a mutual fund last summer and now I’m getting a distribution of capital gains from the fund. Why? I don’t want that. Do I have to pay taxes on it? — Buyer and Holder DEAR BUYER AND HOLDER: Federal law requires mutual funds to distribute nearly all of […]
Read MorePerils of the Amateur Trustee
Glenn Forgey created a revocable living trust to manage his assets, naming his oldest child, Lyle, as trustee. The trust owned bank stock and agricultural property. At Glenn’s death in 1993, the trust was to be divided into equal shares, one for Lyle, one for his brother Wayne, and one for his sister Bessie. The […]
Read MoreYear-End Planning
This year’s stock market correction and increased volatility has monopolized the headlines and commentary leaving other important issues unaddressed. One of those topics is tax planning. The new standard deduction which is part of the 2018 tax law will increase the number of individuals and couples who will use the standard deduction. This change, by […]
Read MoreMulti-year Tax Planning
According to estimates, there will be 29 million more taxpayers using the standard deduction for the 2018 tax year than did in 2017. Usually, one who is relying on the standard deduction, can get away with fairly minimal tax planning—maximize contributions to qualified retirement plans, offset capital gains with capital losses, and so on. However, […]
Read MoreSideways, Lower and Higher
Why do we constantly hear about investment time-horizons? Because, as the old saying goes, time in the market is a consistently effective approach to investing while timing the market is not a dependable strategy. It is impossible to know what the market is going to do. We can’t even agree on what the market has […]
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