Filtering the Noise

There are few sources of enduring investment truths as dependable as Warren Buffett. Last week’s update pointed out the necessity of identifying the different risks associated with the varying time horizons a portfolio might have. The main point was, in a long term portfolio, the risk of the compounding loss of purchasing power as a […]

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Are Bonds Risky?

Why are there bonds in my portfolio? Over the weekend, Berkshire Hathaway released its 2017 annual report along with Warren Buffett’s annual letter to shareholders. One section of Mr. Buffett’s letter addressed the risk in owning bonds and has folks questioning diversification. Investing is an activity in which consumption today is foregone in an attempt […]

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Earnings Growth and Moderate Inflation

As of Friday, 80% of companies in the S&P 500 have reported fourth quarter 2017 results. The blended earnings growth rate for the quarter has been 15.2% year-over-year and is the highest reported since 2011. FactSet reports 2018 earnings per share growth estimates have increased by 7%. In addition, from Dec. 31 through Feb. 15, […]

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Just Another Pullback

Historically, 10% stock market pullbacks are annual occurrences. Aside from some interesting intraday fireworks due to automated trading and the implosion of various derivatives created to track market volatility, the last several weeks have not been unusual. The financial media, whose main incentive is to generate revenue from advertising dollars, wants readers and viewers to […]

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Healthy Adjustments in the Capital Markets

The economic reports for the week were overwhelmingly positive. The Fed decided to hold rates at current levels for the time being and confirmed its previously stated intent to raise short term rates slightly and gradually as the year progresses. Market interest rates responded to the continued strength by rising. Interest rate markets are beginning […]

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Market Numbers

The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished the week at 26,616.71, up over 20,000 points from its great recession low of 6,547.05 on March 9, 2009. The S&P 500 closed Friday at 2,872.87, up almost 2,200 points from its March 9, 2009 close of 676.53. The S&P 500 closed up 1.18% on Friday, the first day […]

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Tax Reform Alters Popular Retirement Planning Technique

The ability to recharacterize (lookback and undo) the conversion of a Traditional IRA to a Roth IRA no longer exists. Beginning in 2018 with Roth conversions, the one popular technique will no longer be available. Paul Fowler covers the details in a new post, Retirement planning after tax reform. On The One Hand Industrial production […]

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2017 Review

Following is a snapshot of the total returns for various asset classes for the year 2017. Among widely followed commodities, gold, at $1,305.50 per ounce was up 13% for the year and West Texas intermediate crude oil was up 12% at $60.42 per barrel. The Weekly Update will not be published for the next two […]

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The Value of Investment Advice

Jason Zweig, author and investment and finance columnist for the Wall Street Journal, has written a good deal about the financial services industry. I like the summary he used at the end of one of his recent articles: “A lot of Wall Street Journal readers have told me they think hiring a financial adviser is […]

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Year End Pre-Review

The S&P 500 finished the week at 2,675.81, another new high. Year-to-date, the index is up 19.52% and if the year had ended on Friday it would have been the 4th largest calendar year gain for the index so far in this century. If the index can at least hold onto its current month-to-date gain […]

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