Guarantee: The Market Will Fluctuate

The recovery from last year’s break down is complete. Stock prices moved higher last week with the S&P 500 closing at a new all-time high of 2,939.88 on Friday. At that point, the index was up 17.27% year to date and 25.04% from the Christmas Eve low. Economic news continued to support the belief that […]

Read More

Earnings Estimates Adjusted Higher

U.S. stocks were flat to slightly higher in anemic trading in the short week ending Thursday. With roughly 15% of companies reporting, the consensus estimate for composite earnings has improved to a decline of 3.8%. Activity will pick up this week as a much heavier flow of Q1 earnings reports begins. Our advice remains unchanged. […]

Read More

Expectations, Near and Far

Stocks were putting together a lackluster week until Friday morning when the first Q1 earnings announcements began with a couple of the big banks who reported better than expected results. The positive results suggested to some that the consensus expectation for a year over year earnings contraction of 4%, may be the floor for this […]

Read More

Expectations at the End of Q1

Economic data became more volatile in the final months of last year and the early months of 2019. Some unexpected softness in retail sales and a leveling off of consumer optimism added to the ongoing sluggishness in home sales and business capital investment. The Fed had raised short term rates as the economy grew through […]

Read More

Choosing an Advisor

A good first step in the process of evaluating a financial advisor is to determine what is at the center of the advisor’s approach. Become skeptical, if the advice you receive begins to revolve around products as the solutions to your achieving your goals. Processes, rather than products, should be the primary approach of a […]

Read More

Slowing Growth or Negative Growth

After a positive start, the week’s trading turned negative Wednesday afternoon and the markets finished the week 0.77% lower. Traders weighed the facts behind the Fed’s decision to hold its Fed Funds rate steady and caution was the dominant mood. Chairman Powell’s description of the economy as being “in a good place” were weighed against […]

Read More

Slow and Steady

The anniversary of the 2008-09 financial crisis bottom came and went on March 9. Since early 2009, the U.S. economy has been in one of the shallowest and longest recoveries in history. The 24/7 cable news financial analysts are obviously disappointed in the lack of action. We have had neither a boom nor a bust […]

Read More

Chronological Milestones

The S&P 500 finished the week 0.39% higher, its fifth up-week in a row and it is the ninth up-week out of the last ten. The month of February finished 2.97% higher following January’s 7.87% gain. After a string of such gains, even the bulls are expecting a pullback to, as the traders say, consolidate […]

Read More

Ask a Trust Officer: Retirement Readiness

Dear Trust Officer: I’m old enough to retire, but I’m not sure I’m ready yet. I think I have strong financial resources, but I don’t know if they are enough to make me financially independent for the rest of my life. Retirement seems so terribly uncertain to me. When should I make the jump? — […]

Read More

Recovery

Stocks have recovered nicely from their fourth quarter rout. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up for the ninth week in a row, the longest winning streak in over twenty years. The S&P 500 was up eight of those nine weeks and now stands less than 5% from its all time high on September 20th. […]

Read More