Summer Doldrums

Earnings season is in full swing and reports to date confirm full year earnings for the S&P 500 will be nearly $160 which places the PE for the index at 17.5. This week will be the heaviest in the earnings reporting season. Traders will be looking at management guidance which has so far been reassuring. […]

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Market Signals

Short-term Treasury yields moved higher last week as the 2-year rose 4 basis points to 2.58%. The 10-year rose early but was off late in the week to finish flat 2.83%. Although the 2 year/10-year spread narrowed to 25 basis points, a level not seen since August 2007, renewed concerns about inversion, a signal of […]

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Stocks Signal Trade Dispute Not War

Tariffs, first announced in March, were levied last week and reporters announced the beginning of a U.S. trade war. U.S. stock indexes, however, shrugged off the noise. The S&P 500 finished the week up 1.52% and cooler heads are talking of a trade dispute, refusing to elevate the latest tariff announcements to the level of […]

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Do I Need a Fiduciary? (Part VI)

Planning does not get easier in the distribution phases of a plan. There is not sufficient room in this brief to cover all of the issues involved. Step #6 points to just a few of the planning issues in a very broad way. The details in a personal financial plan can best be addressed by […]

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Do I Need a Fiduciary? (Part V)

We expand step #5 this week with some brief comments on risk. Establish financial objectives and determine the time frame associated with each one. Determine the amount of savings which will be necessary to fund the investment accounts sufficiently. Determine the types of investment accounts available to best take advantage of provisions in the tax […]

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Yield Curve Signals and Timing

We will finish the series on the value of a fiduciary in the coming weeks but we will pause to comment on the market activity. The stock market has been up in four of the last five weeks. On Friday, the S&P 500 closed at 2,779.66, up 7.7% from the correction low close of 2,581.00 […]

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Do I Need a Fiduciary? (Part IV)

Step #4 begins the process of portfolio allocation. Without going into great detail, the following is a simple overview of the three major asset classes. A review of the historical returns from each asset class along with the corresponding historical business cycles, debt cycles and inflation levels are useful to attempt realistic assumptions of future […]

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Do I Need a Fiduciary? (Part III)

After establishing and prioritizing the importance of well-defined goals, we will turn our attention to creating a personal financial statement and budgeting for attainment of current and future objectives. The next stage is an assessment of the types of savings and investment plans or accounts available. A primary difference among the account types available is […]

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Do I Need a Fiduciary? (Part II)

The series continues this week with a dive into the details. After establishing the broad outline of goals in step #1 of last week’s update, it is time to begin adding the detail. Priorities ranging from required to desired must be assigned to each goal. Each goal will land somewhere on this spectrum and its […]

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Do I Need a Fiduciary?

Last week, we wrote about the Fiduciary Rule and the need for improved regulation. In our view, increased transparency would solve much of the confusion. Consumers should have the freedom to choose the type of service which best meets their needs. This freedom, however, requires consumers be fully informed about the issues involved in organizing […]

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